Geopolitical··Severity 6
Iran halts Strait of Hormuz shipping, Israel ready to resume war
Iran claims that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped to zero, and restrictions on vessel transit will remain in place until conditions change, according to an informed source in the Islamic US Guard Corps (IRGC) Navy on Sunday.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
41%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
Checking access status…