Social··Severity 6
India Rate-Hike Odds Rise as Pricey Crude Stokes Inflation Risk
The swap market is pricing in at least a 25-basis-point hike at the October meeting.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
24%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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