Social··Severity 6
Europe could help get Ukraine and Russia to the negotiating table
Only diplomacy will end this war — and Kyiv’s backers should seek to kick-start talks while the US is mired in Iran
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
30%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Checking access status…