Geopolitical··Severity 9
IEA warns of risk to energy supplies from escalation of Iran conflict
Intergovernmental agency says ‘no room for complacency’ and points to tightness in refined products
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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