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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Russian strikes on Kyiv kill at least nine, Ukraine officials say

The attack comes as Moscow escalates deadly ballistic missile attacks on the Ukrainian capital.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

79%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: BBC World

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