Geopolitical··Severity 8
Ukraine downs 123 drones, but strikes recorded at 10 locations
Russia launched 147 attack drones overnight. Ukrainian air defences destroyed 123 drones, but strikes were recorded at 10 locations and falling debris at seven.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Checking access status…