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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Rival Koreas race to build nuclear-powered submarines

Seoul sees long-awaited opportunity to develop more potent vessels after Donald Trump gave nod of approval last year

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

38%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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