Military··Severity 9
Middle East: Red Sea tensions grow as Saudi-Houthi clashes open new front
The Houthis have accused US ally Riyadh of a "dangerous escalation" after it struck military targets belonging to the group on Friday, following the rebels announcing a maritime blockade of the top oil producer and hitting its ships in the Red Sea.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Checking access status…