Geopolitical··Severity 6
Lebanon death toll rises
Lebanon death toll rises The death toll from Israeli attacks since 2 March has reached 4,328 with another 12,229 wounded, Lebanon’s health ministry
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Middle East Eye
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