Geopolitical··Severity 9
Middle East war stuck in 'cycle of enhanced risk' as US and Iran exchange strikes
The US has bombed Iran for a tenth consecutive night, following the killing of American soldiers in Jordan and Iraq. Washington continues to call for an end to Iranian attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. For its part, Iran says it is at 'full scale war' with the US. Experts are concerned that there is no easy off-ramp, although both countries show signs that they are looking to de-escalate.
Scenario chain
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79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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