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Geopolitical··Severity 6

IN BRIEF: Russia's latest strikes on Ukrainian ports

A dry cargo vessel unloading cargoes for the Ukrainian army was struck at the port of Nikolayev

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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