Geopolitical··Severity 6
IRGC pledges 'unforgettable lesson' for US as Iran signals return to talks
The Revolutionary Guard told Ayatollah Khamenei it regarded his message as "a binding command," as Iran's foreign ministry said diplomacy remained open and mediators sought a 10-day ceasefire to revive the framework deal.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
28%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
Checking access status…