Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran war live: US launches new strikes; Trump mourns killed soldiers
US president says death of soldiers in Jordan a 'sad thing' as US forces attack Iran for the eighth consecutive night.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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