Geopolitical··Severity 6
Next round of US strikes on Iran could last several days — newspaper
According to the newspaper, Donald Trump has complained to confidants that the memorandum of understanding signed by Washington and Tehran was ultimately meaningless
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Checking access status…