Economic··Severity 7
US borrowing costs hit 19-year high as Fed defies inflation fears
Central bank stands pat on rates even as investors worry Trump’s Iran war will ignite jolt of price growth
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
43%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Checking access status…