Geopolitical··Severity 6
US, Israel may impose land blockade on Iran — newspaper
The media outlet pointed out that Pakistan and Iraq, who are not close allies of Washington in the region, could be a weak link
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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