Geopolitical··Severity 8
Oil price dives as US and Iran pause attacks
The US says attacks on Iran have been halted to give "talks some space", raising hopes of a resolution to the conflict.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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