Geopolitical··Severity 6
US launches another round of attacks on Iran
Targets across southern Iran hit, including on strategic Qeshm Island.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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