Geopolitical··Severity 6
Deterring Russia Beneath the Waves: Securing NATO’s Critical Undersea Infrastructure
The sea is home to an increasingly complex and vulnerable assemblage of data cables, energy pipelines, and electricity interconnectors. How might NATO deter attacks on this critical underwater infrastructure?
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: RAND
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