Geopolitical··Severity 9
US launches 13th night of strikes as Iran warns of escalation in the Gulf
Al Jazeera’s Tohid Asadi reports from Tehran as the US launches strikes for the 13th consecutive night.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Checking access status…