Geopolitical··Severity 6
The battle over America’s War Powers Act
Trump, like Nixon before him, believes Congress should not constrain his belligerence
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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