Geopolitical··Severity 8
US bombs Iran for eighth-straight night
The US has launched a new wave of strikes on Iran after two American soldiers were killed by Iranian strikes in Jordan.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
65%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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