Geopolitical··Severity 8
Zelenskyy says Putin may increase mobilisation after Russia's elections
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy believes that the parliamentary elections in Russia in September will not affect further escalation of the war, as their outcome is predictable, but Russian leader Vladimir Putin may resort to increasing mobilisation afterwards.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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