Geopolitical··Severity 9
War on Iran: War resumes 30 days after MoU
30 days into the US-Iran MoU the worst fighting in months has erupted threatening to unravel the ceasefire.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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