Geopolitical··Severity 6
Iran rejects Trump frozen funds plan, warns ships of Hormuz transit ban
Iran rejected Trump’s claim that ships damaged by Iran in the Gulf would be compensated from frozen Iranian funds.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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