Geopolitical··Severity 6
Ukraine: Kyiv protests continue after Zelensky fires defense minister
Protesters in Kyiv on Friday announced an open ended rally demanding that President Volodymyr Zelensky reappoint ousted defence minister Mykhailo Fedorov after a badly explained government reshuffle escalated into a political crisis.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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