Economic··Severity 7
Trump orders the ceremonial changing of the tariff guard
The bogus rationale for duties has rotated from economic emergency to balance of payments to unfair trade
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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