Geopolitical··Severity 6
Zelensky tries to fix crisis over removal of defence minister and counts the cost
Protests have continued over Zelensky's decision to dismiss Mykhailo Fedorov, and some commentators believe he has been damaged politically.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
35%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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