Geopolitical··Severity 6
Rubio says Iran ‘begging’ for a deal with US but not ready to make one
Secretary of state says US has 'a head for an eye' policy as strikes hit Iran for a 12th straight night.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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