Geopolitical··Severity 9
Could Iran become America's next 'forever war'?
The ceasefire has collapsed, attacks are escalating and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz remains under threat. Is the US drifting into another open-ended conflict with no clear way out?
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
Checking access status…