Geopolitical··Severity 8
US-Iran: Why the cycle of war, talks, repeat?
🇮🇷🇺🇸 Why keep reigniting the conflict? German Marshall Fund of the US' Carrie Lee argues the #IranWar persists because both sides seemingly believe continuous conflict gains them greater leverage in negotiations. More on #F24Debate➡️https://f24.my/C3TH
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
54%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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