Geopolitical··Severity 6
Mediators present US, Iran with 10-day ceasefire proposal - Axios
According to the news outlet, neither side has accepted the mediators' proposal so far
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
31%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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