Natural··Severity 7
Bordeaux Suburbs at Risk as 200,000 Flee Fires in France, Spain
More than 200,000 people fled towns in central Spain and southern France overnight as uncontrolled wildfires moved ever closer to the cities of Madrid and Bordeaux.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
34%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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