Geopolitical··Severity 6
"There were a lot of people swarming around the Defence Ministry": ex-defence minister Fedorov on the reasons behind his dismissal
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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