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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Ukraine's top brass reshuffle won't affect war effort in the least — Russian MP

Igor Kastyukevich said that Russia will continue to liberate territories from the Kiev regime’s power

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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