Military··Severity 6
Ukrainian troops shell DPR settlements 28 times in 24 hours firing 30 rounds of ammunition
Two civilians were killed and ten injured
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
47%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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