Military··Severity 8
Nigeria's president approves largest military expansion in recent times
The government is under intense pressure to tackle a slew of armed groups, many of whom attack civilians.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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