Geopolitical··Severity 8
By attacking civilians, Kiev expects to reverse situation on battlefield — diplomat
According to Anna Yevstigneyeva, by delivering strikes on civilian targets, the head of Kiev regime is trying to create an illusion of winning for Western and Ukrainian media in order to obtain more weapons and money from his sponsors
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
54%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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