Geopolitical··Severity 6
Protests in support of ex-defence minister Fedorov continue for second day in Kyiv and other cities across Ukraine – photos, video
Protests in support of former defence minister Mykhailo Fedorov continue for a second consecutive day in Kyiv and other cities across Ukraine following his dismissal.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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