Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia attacks Ukraine with 13 missiles and 151 drones, air defences down 132 aerial assets
Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 13 missiles, five loitering munitions and 146 attack drones on the night of 15-16 July. Ukrainian air defences have destroyed or jammed 132 aerial assets.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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