Social··Severity 6
ConocoPhillips buys into BP’s contract to redevelop Iraq’s supergiant Kirkuk oilfield
Oil major will acquire a 42% stake as US groups return to Iraq to counter China’s growing influence over Opec member
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
31%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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