Geopolitical··Severity 6
Russian forces to punish Kiev for terrorist attacks against civilians — MFA
Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova recalled that in the Donetsk People’s Republic, from July 15 to 23, five people were killed and 20 more suffered injuries as a result of Ukrainian shelling and drone attacks
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
47%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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