← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 9

Iran strikes US facilities in Kuwait, Bahrain — IRGC

According to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the attack was carried out in three phases and involved the use of drones and missile

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

74%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Checking access status…