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Geopolitical··Severity 8

At least 11 killed in Ukrainian and Russian strikes as holiday camp hit

Separately, at least eight people killed in Ukrainian attacks on a Russian-controlled area.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

65%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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