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Geopolitical··Severity 8

IEA Boss Warns Global Economy in Peril If Hormuz Crisis Persists

The global economy faces a renewed challenge if the conflict that’s choked the Strait of Hormuz isn’t resolved in a matter of weeks, said International Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

60%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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