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Economic··Severity 7

Bond Traders Bail on Fed Hike Wagers on Softer Inflation Outlook

The bullish tone in the US bond market following two benign inflation reports has traders of interest-rate options scrambling to exit positions bought in anticipation of at least one increase by the Federal Reserve this year.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

38%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence:

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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