МИД России заявил, что Великобритания использует Британский Совет для подрыва суверенитета стран

Scenario Forecasts Scenario A (Escalation): 50% * Chain: Russia escalates diplomatic pressure on UK through sanctions and public statements. UK government retaliates by implementing stricter visa restrictions for Russian citizens, potentially targeting academics and journalists. The British Council is accused of bias and propaganda, leading to a potential boycott or closure. * Confirmation indicators: Russia imposes new sanctions on the UK (e.g., oil embargo), followed by UK's announcement of visa restrictions for Russian citizens. * Time horizon: 2-4 weeks Scenario B (Status Quo): 38% * Chain: The situation remains largely unchanged, with both sides engaged in diplomatic exchanges and public statements, but without significant escalation. The British Council continues to operate in Russia, albeit facing increased scrutiny from the Russian government. *

Scenario Forecasts Scenario A (Escalation): 50% * Chain: Russia escalates diplomatic pressure on UK through sanctions and public statements. UK government retaliates by implementing stricter visa restrictions for Russian citizens, potentially targeting academics and journalists. The British Council is accused of bias and propaganda, leading to a potential boycott or closure. * Confirmation indicators: Russia imposes new sanctions on the UK (e.g., oil embargo), followed by UK's announcement of visa restrictions for Russian citizens. * Time horizon: 2-4 weeks Scenario B (Status Quo): 38% * Chain: The situation remains largely unchanged, with both sides engaged in diplomatic exchanges and public statements, but without significant escalation. The British Council continues to operate in Russia, albeit facing increased scrutiny from the Russian government. *

Scenario Forecasts Scenario A (Escalation): 50% * Chain: Russia escalates diplomatic pressure on UK through sanctions and public statements. UK government retaliates by implementing stricter visa restrictions for Russian citizens, potentially targeting academics and journalists. The British Council is accused of bias and propaganda, leading to a potential boycott or closure. * Confirmation indicators: Russia imposes new sanctions on the UK (e.g., oil embargo), followed by UK's announcement of visa restrictions for Russian citizens. * Time horizon: 2-4 weeks Scenario B (Status Quo): 38% * Chain: The situation remains largely unchanged, with both sides engaged in diplomatic exchanges and public statements, but without significant escalation. The British Council continues to operate in Russia, albeit facing increased scrutiny from the Russian government. *