Geopolitical··Severity 6
Russian MFA says UK uses British Council to erode sovereignty of countries
According to Maria Zakharova, following the start of the special military operation, the British Council acted in lockstep with the unprecedentedly hostile anti-Russian moves of the UK government
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
50%Escalation
Confirmation indicators: Russia imposes new sanctions on the UK (e.g., oil embargo), followed by UK's announcement of visa restrictions for Russian citizens., Time horizon: 2
B
36%Status quo
Confirmation indicators: Russia imposes new sanctions on the UK (e.g., oil embargo), followed by UK's announcement of visa restrictions for Russian citizens., Time horizon: 2
C
14%De-escalation
Confirmation indicators: Russia imposes new sanctions on the UK (e.g., oil embargo), followed by UK's announcement of visa restrictions for Russian citizens., Time horizon: 2
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