Economic··Severity 7
Russian government claims fuel market is "partially" stabilising
The Russian government has claimed "partial stabilisation" of the fuel market thanks to a ban on petroleum product exports and a shift to fuel imports, although the situation remains tense in a number of regions.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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