Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran, Houthis strike tankers as US bombing continues: What’s the latest?
With the Houthi naval blockade, shipping disruptions now impact the Bab al-Mandeb strait in addition to Hormuz.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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