Geopolitical··Severity 6
Ukrainian forces intensify counterattacks in three special op areas last week — expert
Andrey Marochko highlighted that Ukrainian forces were using mobile firepower more
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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